Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.059589 0.064495 0.069452 0.074830 0.080492 0.086269 0.092601
2025-02-16 0.053960 0.061371 0.069110 0.077768 0.087156 0.097000 0.108076
2025-02-23 0.045914 0.054785 0.064343 0.075345 0.087596 0.100759 0.115907
2025-03-02 0.040441 0.050429 0.061500 0.074570 0.089462 0.105795 0.124949
2025-03-09 0.036097 0.046914 0.059224 0.074094 0.091388 0.110698 0.133715
2025-03-16 0.034059 0.045856 0.059583 0.076479 0.096461 0.119094 0.146420
2025-03-23 0.031770 0.044276 0.059142 0.077773 0.100154 0.125844 0.157223
2025-03-30 0.029612 0.042668 0.058510 0.078703 0.103314 0.131909 0.167211
2025-04-06 0.027164 0.040506 0.057036 0.078467 0.104961 0.136114 0.174970
2025-04-13 0.025907 0.039775 0.057262 0.080254 0.109015 0.143160 0.186102
2025-04-20 0.023694 0.037628 0.055556 0.079507 0.109862 0.146289 0.192516
2025-04-27 0.022164 0.036294 0.054809 0.079896 0.112057 0.151010 0.200832
2025-05-04 0.021073 0.035536 0.054815 0.081284 0.115581 0.157474 0.211439
2025-05-11 0.020671 0.035719 0.056065 0.084301 0.121203 0.166587 0.225381
2025-05-18 0.018289 0.032904 0.053129 0.081688 0.119526 0.166567 0.228053
2025-05-25 0.016716 0.031170 0.051582 0.080842 0.120063 0.169270 0.234068
2025-06-01 0.015381 0.029702 0.050330 0.080325 0.120976 0.172413 0.240619
2025-06-08 0.015071 0.029798 0.051291 0.082840 0.125906 0.180700 0.253684
2025-06-15 0.014445 0.029351 0.051437 0.084205 0.129300 0.187034 0.264318
2025-06-22 0.013754 0.028753 0.051326 0.085185 0.132168 0.192693 0.274122
2025-06-29 0.012780 0.027625 0.050376 0.084934 0.133338 0.196138 0.281105
2025-07-06 0.012424 0.027510 0.050930 0.086822 0.137426 0.203402 0.293017
2025-07-13 0.011429 0.026232 0.049660 0.086033 0.137806 0.205789 0.298647